simmer-sdk

In the author's own words, from each skill's SKILL.md — showing the first 28 of 37 files.

• kalshi-weather-trader

  Trade Kalshi weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer SDK and DFlow on Solana. Port of the popular polymarket-weather-trader. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets on Kalshi, automate weather bets, or check NOAA forecasts.

  skills/kalshi-weather-trader/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• nansen-copytrader-overlay

  Rank Polymarket copytrading leaders using Nansen as a data layer — pnl-by-market for the target market is the primary signal, address-summary/pnl-by-address is a secondary, credit-guarded refinement. Includes an experimental (dry-run only) live insider scan. Use when Simmer needs to re-rank or filter a leader list before executing copytrading rebalances on a specific Polymarket market.

  skills/nansen-copytrader-overlay/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-ai-divergence

  Find markets where Simmer's AI consensus diverges from the real market price, then trade on the mispriced side using Kelly sizing. Scans for divergence, checks fees and safeguards, and executes trades on zero-fee markets with sufficient edge.

  skills/polymarket-ai-divergence/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-btc-up-down-trader

  Trade Polymarket BTC daily and weekly UP/DOWN markets with empirically-anchored exit discipline. Enters on CEX momentum divergence; exits automatically on time cap, volume spike, or target capture. Use when the user wants to trade BTC direction markets (hours/days duration), not fast 5-minute markets.

  skills/polymarket-btc-up-down-trader/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-combo-builder

  Build an atomic Polymarket combo (parlay) - pick 2+ binary market legs, get live combined odds quoted over RFQ, and place the whole thing as ONE signed order. Every leg must hit to win; any single leg losing is a total loss of the stake. Live placement works with EOA / self-custody wallets, and with deposit wallets after a one-time activate_combo_dw() setup. Dry-run by default (a local plan, not…

  skills/polymarket-combo-builder/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-copytrading

  Mirror positions from top Polymarket traders. Polling mode (free) for portfolio-style copying, Reactor mode (Pro) for event-driven real-time mirroring via Simmer's on-chain signal infrastructure.

  skills/polymarket-copytrading/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-dca-eval-trader

  Build and optionally execute a three-tranche Polymarket DCA plan with prop-firm-shaped evaluation envelope checks. Use when the user wants a Bubbles/Roya-style staged averaging template for one thesis, with paper mode by default and explicit live opt-in.

  skills/polymarket-dca-eval-trader/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-elon-tweets

  Trade Polymarket "Elon Musk # tweets" markets using XTracker post count data. Buys adjacent range buckets when combined cost < $1 for structural edge. Use when user wants to trade tweet count markets, automate Elon tweet bets, check XTracker stats, or run noovd-style trading.

  skills/polymarket-elon-tweets/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-fast-loop

  Trade Polymarket BTC 5-minute and 15-minute fast markets using CEX price momentum signals via Simmer API. Default signal is Binance BTC/USDT klines. Use when user wants to trade sprint/fast markets, automate short-term crypto trading, or use CEX momentum as a Polymarket signal.

  skills/polymarket-fast-loop/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-fast-scaler

  Trade Polymarket BTC 5-minute fast markets using a magnitude-gated conviction-ladder strategy. Only fires when |1m BTC momentum| >= 0.10%, the magnitude threshold the strategy is built around. Position size scales with signal strength (3 conviction tiers). Reference template for gate-filtered BTC fast-market trading; the original performance claim was retracted (see below).

  skills/polymarket-fast-scaler/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-market-maker

  Post two-sided GTC limit orders on Polymarket CLOB. Manages inventory skew, cancel/replace on price drift, and estimates rebate-eligible volume. Based on Akey et al. (2026): market-making reduces loss probability by 35.9 pp — the single strongest edge on Polymarket.

  skills/polymarket-market-maker/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-mert-sniper

  Near-expiry conviction trading on Polymarket. The skill scans markets in their final minutes, filters for strongly-skewed splits (60/40+), and places bounded trades against the under-priced side. Defaults — $10 max per trade, 5 trades/run, 8-minute expiry window, dry-run unless `--live`.

  skills/polymarket-mert-sniper/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-mil-aircraft-tracker

  Trade Polymarket strike/action markets using military aircraft ADS-B positioning via pref.trade. Fires when tracked mil aircraft cluster in a target region.

  skills/polymarket-mil-aircraft-tracker/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-nothing-ever-happens

  Buy NO on standalone non-sports yes/no Polymarket markets priced below a configurable cap. Based on the "nothing-ever-happens" thesis — binary markets often resolve NO, and cheap NO shares offer asymmetric value. Scans for candidates via Gamma API, filters out sports and grouped markets, checks fees, and executes.

  skills/polymarket-nothing-ever-happens/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-research

  Research any Polymarket topic — get market data, probabilities, volumes, and top holders in one snapshot. Read-only, no trading.

  skills/polymarket-research/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-signal-sniper

  Monitor RSS feeds for news that may move Polymarket markets, configure custom signal sources and keywords, and get article + market pairs with safeguard warnings. Never trades; your agent decides whether and how to trade.

  skills/polymarket-signal-sniper/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-soccer-shock-ladder

  Fade sharp in-play price shocks on Polymarket soccer markets with a laddered limit-buy strategy (Roan's FIFA-quant framework). Pro skill. Currently scoped to 2026 World Cup markets. Simmer's server detects shocks in real time and emits pre-sized signals; this skill places the recovery ladder and manages the exit.

  skills/polymarket-soccer-shock-ladder/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-wallet-xray

  X-ray any Polymarket wallet — skill level, entry quality, bot detection, and edge analysis. Queries Polymarket's public APIs, no authentication needed. Inspired by @thejayden's "Autopsy of a Polymarket Whale" analysis.

  skills/polymarket-wallet-xray/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-weather-trader

  Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA (US) and Open-Meteo (international) forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's weather trading approach. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets, automate weather bets, check forecasts, or run weather-based strategies.

  skills/polymarket-weather-trader/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• polymarket-worldcup-copytrader

  Copy the top World Cup traders on Polymarket — auto-curated daily by Simmer. No wallet list to configure; the skill sources leaders via PolyNode's slippage-adjusted copy-PnL screen. Regular mode (daily rebalance). Free tier.

  skills/polymarket-worldcup-copytrader/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• prediction-trade-journal

  Auto-log trades with context, track outcomes, generate calibration reports to improve trading.

  skills/prediction-trade-journal/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• simmer-preflight

  Pre-trade readiness check for autonomous agents. One call returns wallet identity, venue status, spendable balance, open exposure, and a structured ok_to_trade verdict. Live real-venue trades auto-run this check and refuse when ok_to_trade is False.

  skills/preflight/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• simmer-briefing

  Daily check-in pattern for Simmer agents. One API call returns portfolio, risk alerts, and opportunities across all venues. Use this in your heartbeat to keep your human informed.

  skills/simmer-briefing/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• simmer-mcp-setup

  One-shot bootstrap for the Simmer MCP server. Detects your agent runtime (Claude Code / Cursor / OpenClaw / Hermes / Codex / Grok Bot), installs simmer-mcp via npm, writes the right MCP config, prompts a restart, and verifies the tool handshake. Use after registering an agent on simmer.markets to run pre-built Simmer trading strategies through your MCP-aware agent.

  skills/simmer-mcp-setup/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• simmer-skill-builder

  Generate complete, installable OpenClaw trading skills from natural language strategy descriptions. Use when your human wants to create a new trading strategy, build a bot, generate a skill, automate a trade idea, turn a tweet into a strategy, or asks "build me a skill that...". Produces a full skill folder (SKILL.md + Python script + config) ready to install and run.

  skills/simmer-skill-builder/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• simmer-wallet-setup

  Self-custody wallet setup for Simmer agents. Bring your own key, import a funded Polymarket wallet, or connect an existing dashboard-registered agent to your local runtime. Skip this skill if you use a managed wallet — managed setup is a one-time dashboard flow, not an agent task.

  skills/simmer-wallet-setup/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• simmer-x402

  Make x402 payments to access paid APIs and gated content. Use when a skill needs to fetch data from x402-gated endpoints (like Kaito mindshare API, Simmer premium endpoints, or any x402 provider). Handles 402 Payment Required responses automatically using USDC on Base.

  skills/simmer-x402/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

• simmer

  The prediction market interface for AI agents. Trade Polymarket and Kalshi through one API with self-custody wallets, safety rails, and smart context.

  skills/simmer/SKILL.md on GitHub (opens in a new tab)

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